Iowa residents, local businesses, and the state government are projected to lose at least $1 billion over the next ten years as a result of cuts to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) included in the budget reconciliation bill, according to new analysis out today from the Iowa Hunger Coalition.
The budget reconciliation bill, also known as the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” included a $187 billion cut to SNAP, the largest funding cut in the history of the program. Both of Iowa’s Senators and all four of Iowa’s Representatives to the U.S. House voted in favor of the bill. President Trump signed the bill into law on July 4, 2025.
Read IHC’s statement on the passage of the “One Big Beautiful Bill”
Some of the negative impacts from this legislation will be immediately felt, with tens of thousands of Iowans soon to be at risk of losing their SNAP benefits. Other provisions won’t take effect for a few years, and the impact and the source of adverse changes may be less evident. The impending cuts will have devastating consequences for Iowans facing food insecurity, the anti-hunger sector, local communities, and Iowa’s state budget.
Estimated Loss of Funding to Iowa Over the Next Decade Due to SNAP Cuts
- Eliminating Eligibility: -$270 million
- Expanding work reporting requirements: -$252 million
- Banning refugees, asylees, and other humanitarian immigrants from SNAP: -$18 million
- Cutting Future Benefits: -$272 million
- Freezing future re-evaluations of the Thrifty Food Plan: -$210 million
- No deductions for internet expenses: -$62 million
- Loss of Economic Activity: -$293+ million
- Eliminating eligibility and cutting future benefits will have a ripple effect due to SNAPs economic multiplier effect of 1.54
- Reductions to the State Budget: -$165-689 million
- Elimination of the SNAP-Ed program: -$31 million
- Additional 25% administrative cost-share: -$134 million
- Benefit cost-share of 0-15%: -$0-524 million
Immediate Impacts: Eliminating Eligibility
The most immediate impacts will come from changes to work reporting requirements and eliminating eligibility for refugees, asylees, and other humanitarian immigrants. These provisions technically took effect upon enactment, but it will take some time for the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Food and Nutrition Service (USDA FNS) to issue guidance to states to implement the changes. We will know more in the coming weeks and months.
Expanding Work Reporting Requirements
One of the largest policy changes (and subsequent cuts) in the reconciliation bill is an expansion of the three-month time limit for Able-Bodied Adults Without Dependents (ABAWDs), also known as work reporting requirements. This 80 hour/month requirement has already existed for adults ages 18-54 without dependents who were mentally and physically able to work, but has now been expanded to include the following people:
- adults ages 55-64
- parents and caregivers of children ages 14+
- veterans, people who are unhoused, and young adults aging out of foster care (all previously exempt)
Expanding work reporting requirements will reduce SNAP spending in Iowa by an estimated $252 million over the next decade. How? By forcing people off the program who are unable to comply with the onerous new work reporting requirements.
The evidence is clear: work requirements don’t work. They don’t lead to meaningful improvements in employment and earnings. They simply make it harder to apply for and maintain SNAP benefits, even for people who are working. Perhaps this difficulty explains why ABAWDs only make up 3% of Iowa’s SNAP population, according to the Iowa Department of Health and Human Services.
The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities estimates that at least 15,000 Iowans could have their SNAP benefits eliminated due to the new work reporting requirements. When a parent or caregiver loses access to SNAP, children in their household still qualify, but the overall household benefit is reduced. In total, 23,000 Iowans on SNAP are at risk of seeing their household SNAP benefit eliminated or reduced.
Banning Refugees and Asylees from SNAP
The budget reconciliation bill also eliminates SNAP eligibility for many legal non-citizens, including refugees, asylees, victims of trafficking, and certain other immigrants here on humanitarian grounds.
According to USDA FNS, in FY 2023 there were approximately 4,000 refugees and asylees participating in SNAP in Iowa, over half of them children and seniors. Thousands of our neighbors who we welcomed into our state will now have their nutrition assistance stripped away from them.
Mid-Term Impacts: The Pivotal Year Ahead
The 2026 federal fiscal year starts on October 1, 2025—just 10 weeks away. The next year will be pivotal for the state of Iowa, the SNAP program, and the outlook of our state budget. The Iowa Department of Health and Human Services will be under an immense amount of pressure to bring Iowa’s SNAP payment error rate below 6% to avoid paying tens of millions of dollars to the federal government, while balancing separate budget crunches as a result of the reconciliation bill.
The Defunding of SNAP-Ed
The SNAP Nutrition Education and Obesity Prevention program, also known as SNAP-Ed, was defunded in the budget reconciliation bill, effectively (though not technically) eliminating the program. Iowa was set to receive $3.1 million in SNAP-Ed funding in FY 2026 that has now been zeroed out.
SNAP-Ed funds a variety of nutrition education programs for low-income people administered by the Iowa Department of Health and Human Services and Iowa State University Extension & Outreach. Iowa also planned to use SNAP-Ed funding to evaluate the effectiveness of its forthcoming SNAP restriction waiver. The future of programs and personnel funded through SNAP-Ed in Iowa is unclear.
Blocking Internet Expenses from Utility Deductions
Under the Biden administration, the USDA issued a final rule change to allow states to include internet expenses when calculating the Standard Utility Allowance (SUA) for SNAP. The rule change had an implementation deadline of October 1, 2025, though some states began implementing the policy change earlier.
The budget reconciliation bill blocked this rule change from going into effect, reversing the policy. Iowans will not have the chance to deduct the cost of internet expenses when determining their SNAP benefits. This may look like $20 less in SNAP benefits for a household every month, but altogether, amasses to $7 million less in SNAP benefits going out to Iowans every year.
An Eye Toward Future Cost-Shifts
Beginning in FY 2027 (October 1, 2026), Iowa will be required to pay an additional 25% of the administrative costs for SNAP, which will cost the state an estimated $13-15 million. This will have a large impact on Iowa’s FY 2027 budget, which is determined during the 2026 Iowa legislative session. Finding a way to fill this gap in the state budget will leave few good options for state legislators.
To make matters worse, an even larger potential cost to state is looming, with a cost-share on SNAP benefits starting in FY 2028, tied to the state’s payment error rate from either FY 2025 or FY 2026. This means the Iowa Department of Health and Human Services will be under an immense amount of pressure from now until October 1, 2026 (and indefinitely into the future) to get Iowa’s SNAP payment error rate below 6%.
Long-Term Impacts: Threats to the State Budget
Cost-Shifts, Budget Implications, and Shifting the Blame
Since its inception, SNAP benefits have always been 100% paid for by the federal government. That is set to change in FY 2028, with states being on the hook for 0-15% of the states’ SNAP benefit amounts, the level of cost-share being determined by the state’s payment error rate (PER) for SNAP. In order to avoid tens of millions of dollars in cost-share on benefits, states must have a payment error rate below 6%. Right now, Iowa’s PER is 6.14%.
If Iowa’s payment error rate doesn’t fall below 6% in FY 2025 or FY 2026, the state will be on the hook for at least $27 million in FY 2028. That’s assuming a 5% cost share on benefits. In the worst case scenario, if Iowa’s PER rises above 10%, the state would be on the hook for over $80 million. This will be an ongoing concern for the Iowa Department of Health and Human Services every year going forward.
Even if Iowa manages to avoid a cost-share on benefits, our HHS budget will still face huge impacts from the additional administrative cost share and the elimination of SNAP-Ed funding. Iowa’s example has shown us that small smart investments, not massive funding cuts, are the most effective way to bring down payment error rates.
Additionally, when a state pays so much attention to addressing the payment error rate, other important performance metrics can fall to the wayside. While Iowa’s PER has stayed relatively low in recent years, application processing timeliness (APT) for SNAP has fallen to the worst rate in two decades.
With all this pressure on the state budget, our elected officials will be forced to cut programs and services as a way of reducing costs and balancing the budget. Whether this comes in the form of further restrictions to SNAP eligibility or cuts to other programs funded through the state’s HHS budget remains to be seen, but this will have far reaching impacts on the services our state government provides to Iowans.
Freezing the Thrifty Food Plan: A Cut to Future Benefits
Another long-term impact of the budget reconciliation bill is preventing future re-evaluations of the Thrifty Food Plan, effectively cutting future benefit increases. Annual adjustments for inflation will continue.
The Thrifty Food Plan is the lowest-cost of the USDA’s four food plans, and is used to calculate SNAP benefit amounts. In the 2018 Farm Bill, Congress directed USDA to modernize how it calculated the Thrifty Food Plan and make updates every five years. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) scored the proposal as cost-neutral.
In 2019, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the USDA under the Biden administration announced it had modernized the Thrifty Food Plan, leading to a permanent 21% increase to SNAP benefits nationwide, and a 27% increase in Iowa. While the budget reconciliation bill did not undo this increase, as some had called for, it does prevent future re-evaluations that are not cost-neutral from being conducted without the approval of Congress.
The 2021 modernization was the first time the Thrifty Food Plan had been re-evaluated in 50 years, so it was understandable that the increase was so significant. But the CBO has projected much smaller increases from future TFP updates.
Had the TFP pause not gone into effect, the average Iowan on SNAP would have seen their monthly benefit increase by $8 in FY 2027 and $7 in FY 2032. This means the average monthly SNAP benefit will be an estimated $15 lower in FY 2034 than it would have been without this bill. It may not be a cut to current benefits, but it’s a cut to benefits nonetheless. Iowans will collectively see $210 million less in SNAP benefits over the next decade as a result.
Loss of Economic Activity
SNAP has an economic multiplier effect of 1.54, meaning that every $1 spent on SNAP generates $1.54 in economic activity. When Iowans have less SNAP benefits to spend on groceries, that has a negative impact on local communities. This could lead to grocery stores closing entirely, creating additional food deserts in urban and rural areas alike.
As a result of Iowans having their future benefits reduced, or losing access to SNAP entirely, policies in the budget reconciliation bill will lead to an additional $306 million in losses in the state of Iowa. This number could increase if the state of Iowa takes any actions to further reduce SNAP eligibility or benefits.
Methodology
These estimates use the Congressional Budget Office’s final July 21, 2025 estimated budgetary effects of the reconciliation bill as a general baseline to determine the impact on Iowa in the following ways: